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Market reports Published January 12, 2026 2 min read

M&A market outlook in Spain for 2026

Comprehensive analysis of trends, volumes, and opportunities in the Spanish mergers and acquisitions market for 2026. Closing data from 2025, sectoral forecasts, and perspectives from the middle market.

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Blue Mountain Capital

Blue Mountain Capital

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Blue Mountain Capital | | 2 min read

The Spanish mergers and acquisitions market closed 2025 with figures that confirm a fundamental trend: Spain has consolidated its position as one of the most dynamic markets in continental Europe for corporate transactions. From Blue Mountain, we begin 2026 with a perspective that combines closing data from the previous year, macroeconomic signals, and our own experience as active investors in the middle market.

2025 in review

The Spanish middle market closed 2025 with 742 completed transactions, a 14% increase over 2024. Total disclosed transaction value reached 28.5 billion euros. The recovery was broad-based, with activity increasing across all major sectors and deal sizes.

Several factors drove the recovery: stabilised financing conditions, narrowing bid-ask spreads between buyers and sellers, and the relentless supply of succession-driven transactions from Spain’s ageing entrepreneur population.

Outlook for 2026

We expect 2026 to build on the momentum of 2025, with the following dynamics:

Continued volume growth. The structural drivers of M&A activity in Spain — generational succession, sectoral fragmentation, and the professionalisation of the middle market — are long-term forces that will sustain transaction volumes for years to come. We expect 750-800 middle-market transactions in 2026.

Valuation stability. Average multiples are likely to remain in the 7-7.5x EBITDA range for the broad middle market, with sector-specific variations. The era of rapid multiple expansion appears to be over, replaced by a more disciplined market where fundamental quality commands appropriate premiums.

Sector rotation. While logistics, hospitality, and healthcare will remain active, we expect increasing activity in industrial services, circular economy, and food and beverage — sectors where consolidation is still in its early stages and valuations are more attractive.

International buyer growth. International buyers represented approximately 38% of middle-market deals in 2025, and we expect this share to increase as Spain’s reputation as a stable, attractive investment destination continues to strengthen.

Patient capital acceleration. The trend toward family office and long-horizon investment will continue to gain momentum. We expect patient capital investors to account for approximately 25% of middle-market deal volume in 2026, up from 22% in 2025.

Themes to watch

Distressed opportunities. While the overall economy remains healthy, specific sectors and companies will face challenges from rising costs, competitive pressure, and debt maturities. This will create selective opportunities for investors with restructuring capabilities.

Secondary buyouts. A growing number of private equity portfolio companies are approaching the end of their fund lives. These secondary buyouts create opportunities for patient capital investors who can offer a different holding-period proposition.

Cross-sector platform plays. Investors are increasingly looking at platform strategies that span related sectors — for example, combining logistics and industrial services, or hospitality and leisure.

Conclusion

The Spanish M&A market enters 2026 with strong fundamentals, healthy transaction volumes, and a growing diversity of buyer profiles. For investors with local knowledge, sector expertise, and the patience to build value over time, Spain continues to offer one of the most attractive investment environments in Western Europe.

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